All posts by GeorgesVonfelt

Hedge Fund the rise of one whom nothing predestined to become the best manager of history.

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Hedge Fund the rise of one whom nothing predestined to become the best manager of history “The man who solved the riddle of the markets” Wall Street Journal’s Greg Zuckerman’s book is the book that everyone is talking about on Wall Street. He portrays the rise of one whom nothing predestined to become the best manager of history. The mathematician Jim Simons, whose fortune exceeds 23 billion dollars, is at the origin of a UFO: the Medallion fund. Since 1988, this quantitative hedge fund has recorded an average annual gain of 66.1%, reduced to 39% after deducting its commissions. Over 20 years (1985-2004), George Soros’ hedge fund (Quantum fund) had an average annual return of 20.2%. Prize of excellence Aware of its value, the Medallion Hedge Fund has taken the highest rates in the industry, 5% of assets and 44% of profits generated through its performance. Hedge Fund typically take between 1.5% and 2% of assets and 20% of profits. Given its success, this Hedge Fund no longer accepted money from investors since 1993. In 2005, it was reserved exclusively for employees of the Hedge Fund. For Simons, this fund was to remain relatively small, less than $ 10 billion, to continue to perform well. The founder is aware of the law of diminishing returns in the financial world: the more the capital is important, the more a manager is struggling to remain as efficient.

Inconceivable In an interview with “Institutional Investor” in November 2000, the founder of Renaissance said: “Today we manage $ 4 billion, perhaps $ 7 to $ 8 billion in the future. But 70 billion, never! It is inconceivable. I am 62 years old and in the next three years I would like to pass the torch. Today the Hedge Fund manages $ 110 billion, and Jim Simons retired in 2010 while remaining involved in his company, being non-executive chairman. The Medallion has been a fantastic Hedge Fund appeal and advertising product, which has launched other funds such as Renaissance equities. He managed the increase in his assets and the change in size of his fund. “Make money when I sleep” In 1978, Jim Simons left his position as professor of mathematics at Stony Brook University to found his first Limroy Hedge Fund. Like other traders of the time, he tries to anticipate the decisions of the Federal Reserve but without much success. Yet at the time, he consulted the opinion of an economist, Alan Greenspan, who would become the president of the Fed between 1986 and 2007. His poor results prompt him to seek a trading system without human interference. “I do not want to worry about markets every minute. I want models that make me earn money when I sleep. He then embarked on quantitative management in the futures markets, particularly commodities. It speculates on potatoes, oil or pig carcasses but again the yields are random. The Hedge Fund, Renaissance Technologies, which was born in 1982, decided to move up a gear and began to build systematic and rigorous quantitative management. “There are movements and configurations in the markets that are not ‘visible to the naked eye’ by traders, but Renaissance wanted to exploit these anomalies in a systematic and rigorous way,” says Greg Zuckerman. Grey matter The fund is progressively recruiting the best mathematicians, astrophysicists, linguists, artificial intelligence specialists and computer scientists. It ensures their loyalty by allowing them to invest their bonuses in the Medallion Hedge Fund, where the average investment of employees is now around $ 50 million. Those who leave the company are subject to very strict confidentiality agreements and a non-competition clause over a very long period. It is not possible that they go into another Hedge Fund to disclose the secrets of the company.

The “home culture” of Renaissance, the antithesis of that of Hedge Fund of the time, was in three words: humility, patience, work. No star manager took positions according to his “instinct”, a word banned internally. His traders had to follow the signals of mathematical models and never take personal initiative. In fact, very few Wall Street professionals have been recruited by Renaissance who prefers to hire IBM alumni. The Medallion fund also invested some of its money in about 40 Hedge Fund. It was a way to seize opportunities that he had not identified himself while benefiting from information feedback on the markets. Data gathering. To help it achieve good market forecasts, this Hedge Fund was one of the first to recognize the importance of having as much financial data as possible. He has collected very old and good course histories. Databases often contain errors that a statistics specialist was responsible for flushing out and correcting. The fund was collecting data that was not available to its competitors: one of the contributors regularly went to the New York Fed in Manhattan to manually collect prices on bonds that were not public. Anticipating the rise of “high frequency trading” (ultra-fast trading machines), the fund invests early in technology and computers at the forefront to increase the speed of its transactions and be the first to seize opportunities. The “gross” anomalies in the markets have long since disappeared and the fund must innovate to remain efficient. “The mathematics we use can be sophisticated,” he told Institutional Investors, “but we start from data analysis, we do not have preconceived notions.” “In our business, we want action, we appreciate a certain level of volatility. In 2008, the year of the financial crisis, the Medallion fund jumped by 80%.

 

Business failures in France

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Business failures in France. It’s an encouraging signal for the French economy: French companies are less likely to experience Business failures. Their number was 10,500 in the third quarter of 2019, according to the count made by the company Altares, down 6.4% compared to the same period last year.

This is an exceptionally low level, unmatched since 2007. The improvement is notable in construction, retail, catering and personal services. Even sectors such as business services and industry – particularly agribusiness – are experiencing a decline in Business failures.

Increase in claims of large Companies

All is not rosy however, since the average size of the failing companies increases. Thus, 73 companies with more than 50 employees went to court in the third quarter for Business failures, against 56 at the same time last year. As a result, the number of jobs threatened by these Business failures is growing. Nearly 37,300 jobs are at risk, 2,350 more than in the summer of 2018. These Companies alone account for nearly one third of jobs at risk.

“It has been several quarters since the Business failures of large Companies increase quite markedly,” said Thierry Millon, director of studies of the company Altares. Children’s clothing stores Orchestra, the airlines eagle Azur and XL Airways suffered disappointments last quarter.

Threats in the fourth quarter

Why are some large Companies experiencing more Business failures than before? “The activity has been pretty good since the end of 2015, but some companies have used their money to manage their working capital needs and not to solidify their growth. Today, with the slowdown, they are in financial difficulties, “says the expert who also notes” a degradation of payment behaviour since the spring. ” Vigilance is therefore in order. With a particular focus on the fourth quarter, marked last year by increased difficulties for some businesses and in the restoration because of the movement of “yellow vests”. However, this winter, the public transport strike on the pension reform is threatening.

Signs of weakness in the automobile and construction

Without large-scale social movement, “this year, the number of Business failures should be around 53,000, down from 2018 when France had experienced 54,700 Business failures, according to Thierry Millon. Again, this would be the lowest level since 2007. Even if it should remain low next year, the loss ratio will however hard to maintain at this low water level next year. “Some sectors are showing obvious signs of weakness. This is the case of the automobile or construction for example, “said the leader of Altares. On the other hand, companies should be able to count on the expected healthy performance of household consumption.

Secret information from a debt collection company.

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The secret information of a debt collection company is a first-rate tool for assessing and analysing the solvency of a company. The proof of this is the example of a large company with over € 20,000,000 turnover whose accounts are supervised and validated by an auditor, and which enjoys a good credit rating with the rating agencies. This company filed for bankruptcy overnight. How could the credit rating agencies validating the solvency of the company be so wrong? Why has the auditor not been alerted?

In reality, this company used a large number of foreign subcontractors and did not pay their invoices changing supplier on multiple occasions, as unpaid foreign suppliers were reluctant to act because of the relative modesty of their claims.

The unpaid invoice files against this company have accumulated with a debt collection company specializing in international debts. The latter immediately suspected serious difficulties when it became impossible to reach anyone in the accounting department. Small instalments were paid irregularly. A payment order for a small fee was contested by the company’s lawyer without any indication of any reason. You did not have to be a top-flight financial analyst to understand that this company was in fact terminating payments. Judicial action for a few thousand euros caused the filing for Bankruptcy.

Another example of a well-hidden secret is the following. The subsidiary of a large group contacts a debt collection company. She wishes to entrust him with the recovery of all his 6-digit client account. As this is a company specializing in B to B services, the customer post is the main or only asset of this company. It turns out during the processes initiated by the debt collection company that most of these claims were disputed, that the disputes were serious and the position of the creditor company legally fragile. In fact, the sole purpose of the creditor was to defend the client item vis-à-vis its auditor by acting with a debt collection company to avoid a massive depreciation of this asset.

The debt collection companies so decried and vilified would have a role to play in the prevention of the difficulties of the companies by having for example a right of information strictly confidential of the organs of control to prevent before it is too late to cure.

General terms and conditions of sale between professionals in France mandatory information’s

General terms and conditions of sale between professionals in France mandatory information’s.

Obligation of companies

In France the basis of commercial negotiation between professionals, the General terms and conditions of sale must be communicated to buyers who request it. Which mentions should be included? How to communicate them? What sanctions in case of non-compliance with these obligations?

Between professionals (B2B), the General terms and conditions of sale must be communicated to buyers or service seekers who request it. In this case, they must respect specific rules both in terms of their drafting and their mode of communication.

This obligation to communicate the General terms and conditions of sale between does not apply if no customer requests it.

The mandatory mentions of the General terms and conditions of sale between professionals

When they are formalized, the General terms and conditions of sale between professionals must obligatorily include a number of mandatory information provided for in Article L.441-1 of the French Commercial Code. They must include:

  • Settlement terms (including terms relating to payment terms, penalties for late payment and recovery fees)
  • Any price reductions and discount conditions
  • The unit price scale.

Particular mentions

The General terms and conditions of sale may also include optional information such as the terms of termination of the contract, clauses relating to cases of force majeure (natural disaster for example), retention of title or limitation of liability of the seller.

The rules of communication of the General terms and conditions of sale between professionals

If no particular formalism is required by law, the general conditions of sale must be fixed in writing, by any means constituting a durable medium. Generally, the general conditions of sale are found on pre-contractual documents (advertising documents, etc.), contractual documents (purchase orders, contracts, etc.) and annexes (signs, posters affixed to points of sale, etc.). ).

It is possible to establish general conditions of sale differentiated according to the category of buyers of products or applicants for services. To define its categories of buyers, a distinction must be made between:

  • Wholesaler or trader (B2B) buyer
  • Supermarkets
  • Any specialized company
  • distance selling businesses.

The obligation to communicate the general conditions of sale applies only for professionals of the category concerned. The supplier can therefore write as many different terms and conditions as there are categories of buyers.

 

What sanctions in case of non-compliance with the general conditions of sale between professionals?

In the event of a breach of the drafting and communication requirements of the general conditions of sale, Article L.441-1 of the French Commercial Code provides for an administrative fine of up to:

  • € 15,000 for a natural person
  • 75 000 € for one personeiffel-tower-1156146__340

Companies start-ups in France

Companies start-ups in France

Companies start-ups in France. After weakening in July and then falling in August, start-ups rebounded in September. According to the French statistic office, their number rose by 4.2%. Over a year, they posted a jump of 16.6%. Microenterprises now account for more than 47% of all creations. Companies start-ups are on the rise in France. After a slump in the summer, largely due to the drop in the number of registrations of micro-entrepreneurs, they are indeed up again in September. According to data published by the statistic office on Tuesday, all categories combined, they rose 4.2% last month. A rebound that makes it possible for the first time to cross the threshold of 70,000 companies created in one month and close a mixed quarter with a slight increase in July and a drop in August. In detail, in September, 70,605 new companies were created. This increase is mainly due to the strong growth of micro-enterprise registrations (+ 6.8%, with 33,618 new listings) and, to a lesser extent, to the average business sector (+ 2%, with 36,987 new entities). 16% year-over-year increase Over twelve months and this time in raw data, the number of new companies has increased by 16.6%, a pace close to that recorded for several months. Here again, these creations are largely driven by micro-enterprises which, over one year, jump by 26% and now represent more than 47% of all new structures identified. At the same time, the number of new conventional sole proprietorships rose by 10.6% and that of companies by 8%. By sectors, the statistics highlights the “growth” of “support to businesses” which, with 27,900 creations over the last twelve months, shows an increase of 17.4%. However, this is not where creations of companies are the most dynamic. With an increase of 25% over twelve months, the industry is in the lead, followed by household services (up 21%) and real estate activities (+ 20%). Fragile dynamics Good health that many experts impute to the various measures voted to precisely promote the development of micro-enterprises. These measures include the doubling of turnover thresholds below which it is possible to benefit from a simplified tax and social system that is much lighter compared to the traditional system. The dynamic is however fragile. If the executive has agreed to give up the publication of the decree aimed at reducing social security exemptions for micro-entrepreneurs, it is still looking to save 600 million euros in 2022. And asked the professionals to present it economic proposals before the end of the vote on the finance bill this autumn.

In the secret of a debt collection company and its methods

In the secret of a debt collection company and its methods. The terms vultures, sharks, mafia methods and other “bird names” are often referred to when describing a collection society. What is it really? Do debt collection companies get rich on the backs of people by practicing unorthodox methods or are debt collection companies doing their Job only? Camille V. calls exasperated debt collection company who claims 27.90 € for an unpaid radiology bill. She has already reported several times to the medical office that the payment was made. His interlocutor Didier O. remains calm. He verifies on his screen and informs Camille V. that it is enough for him to send the proof of the transfer so that the letter of formal notice becomes irrelevant. Camille V. has already hung up and pronounces another well-sworn oath before cutting the communication. Anyone looking for recognition and consideration for his job would be better off not working in a debt collection company. The brand image of this industry is disastrous and the one who receives a letter of formal notice in his mailbox explodes blood pressure. We are looking for positive attitude! Didier O. has worked for 15 years as sedentary debt collection officer he is not a hooligan of a thick brute, he is smiling and sporty appearance. To be hired he had to meet the following criteria: calm, ability to convince and positive vision of life. One of the secrets of a successful debt collection is to receive the file very early, which greatly increases the chances of obtaining payment without having to expose significant costs. This transfer by the companies of recent receivables makes that many delays of payment are only due to negligence or absences for example for leave. A debtor who receives a letter from a debt collection company is immediately on the defensive. According to a survey, 65% of the recipients of this type of mail from a debt collection company believe that the amount claimed is not due. Telephone subscribers, energy providers or consumer credit companies rely heavily on the services of debt collection companies. It is wrong to believe that debt collection companies merely send out standard letters for which they receive disproportionate fees. Especially for trade receivables the debt collection company will have to convince the one who owes money to find an amicable agreement with his supplier sometimes see a partial debt forgiveness. Nobody has any interest in bringing legal proceedings, as the popular saying goes, a bad deal is better than a good trial. The muscular and menacing boxers are not unique to serious debt collection companies. It is in the interest of the debt collection company to settle the file as soon as possible and with the least possible inconvenience for those who owe money. On the other hand, it is abnormal that in France the individual in bad faith does not bear any costs and that for small claims (individual or professional) there is no way to obtain payment without having to bear considerable costs. In the Nordic countries the situation is different and high costs are due even for small debts. In some foreign countries (Germany) there are pressure tactics to oblige the payment of these costs. There is however a satisfied person it will be the client of the debt collection company who will recover his due.bodyworn-794099__340

Commercial Debt Collection and Business Bankruptcy

avoid empty pockets

avoid empty pockets

Commercial Debt Collection and business bankruptcy are sometimes linked. When a file arrives in a debt collection office, when the amount of the debt recovery is high and the debtor’s situation is fragile the debt collection actions sometimes lead to the bankruptcy of the debtor company. One can therefore ask the question of the relevance of the action of the debt collection company. In reality it is not the recovery actions that led to the bankruptcy of the company it was certainly already in a state of cessation of payment. The recovery procedures are only the drops of water that broke the camel’s back. The bankruptcy procedures are mostly long and dead-end, the creditor said unsecured (the one who has no security) having very little chance of recovering what is due to him. Should we in these cases renounce recovery actions? the answer is clearly no because only the one who acts keeps a chance to get his bills paid. One of the most common prevention tips was to tell suppliers to learn about the creditworthiness of their customers and keep their credit limit under supervision. This common-sense rule now faces new difficulties. Indeed, the secret of business in a world in full transparency becomes more and more opaque. In France, for example, it is now possible for small and medium-sized businesses to make their balance sheets confidential, whereas a few years ago this was considered a crime that could be prosecuted by the public prosecutor’s office. It is no longer uncommon to see companies that are well-rated by intelligence companies suddenly go bankrupt. One of the remedies to business bankruptcy losses is to adjust the credit limit to the size of the client. It is common to see the debt collection of important files that concern very small businesses. When a company is in trouble it will rush into the arms of a supplier ready to give it credit. The salesperson will be enthusiastic about developing his turnover and everyone will fall into the trap of supplier credit. It is the exporting companies that are setting up in a new country that are most likely to fall into this kind of trap. The losses and debt collection difficulties are in fact linked to the short-term profit policy which penalizes the exporters who have not planned a moderate development and supported by a substantial budget.

Unpaid bills bad habits.

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Unpaid bills bad habits die hard. The media, social networks and discussion forums on economic issues constantly evoke the next global economic crisis that they say is on the horizon. One of the consequences of this crisis in the making will be a resurgence of unpaid bills. For the professionals of the client risk, for the credit-managers and the professionals of the recovery of the unpaid bills all the indicators are with the red. The first fruits of the crisis are seen by an upsurge of late payments in all areas of activity. Wherever the payment initiative is left to the customer (payment by check, transfer, draft) late payments and unpaid bills accumulate. The regulations are obtained only by a tedious and time-consuming work to make the reminders. This work is all the more difficult because the favourable economic situation of recent years has led to a massive return of bad habits in preventing unpaid bills. And yet 4 simple rules and easy to implement will significantly reduce unpaid bills they concern:

The client data’s

Billing

Disputes

“Time is money”

The client data’s managed by the sales team must contain the following elements:

The exact business name of the client and not his brand

The manager’s mobile phone

The email address of the person in charge of the regulations

The exact bank details (Bank Statement + IBAN)

The registration number in the Trade Register.

Only a well-maintained client file will allow for error-free billing and will make it easier for reminders teams to work.

Disputes must be identified which requires having the name of the contact and a way to contact him.

And finally the adage Time is Money does not exist without reason. As a collection professional, we see cases arrive every day with the following mention “it has been months since he reacts to anything he has not even looked for the registered letter”. Avoiding unpaid invoices requires acting quickly and if possible before other creditors.

The return of late payments in France

The return of late payments in France is confirmed. A few months ago, a large majority of business customers returned their payment means quickly or executed their transfers on time. This is no longer the case and credit managers are seeing an upsurge in late payments. It is currently necessary to invest a lot of time in the raises to keep the treasuries afloat. Whether the company is profitable or not a solid cash is an essential element to its sustainability.

Good repo management consumes a lot of time, and this thankless but indispensable work does not always fit into the planning of the accounting and financial teams. To master payment late payments one of the keys is not to leave the payments initiative to the debtor. A tool that should be used en masse is the electronic letter of exchange raised called LCR. Easy to use it allows to present at the due date an electronic transaction to the customer’s bank account. This requires of course that the commercial team obtains when opening the account of each client a bank account or IBAN complete.

Entrusting late payments to salespeople is a mistake. There is a real loss of credibility to one day aggressively claim a payment and then come back to try to get a new order. Late payments must be handled by the credit managers or by the accounting and financial departments.

Avoiding late payments is a matter of educating customers. If the customer finds a laxity of his supplier he will not miss to take advantage of this free credit and without guarantee that this one grants him. The supplier customer relationship must be a partnership with benefits for both parties; if the supplier has delivered an irreproachable merchandise on time, his customer must avoid any late payment and pay his bills in due time.appointment-15979__340

Mandatory information on the invoice in France

Mandatory information on the invoice in France

Changes effective October 1, 2019 In France from 1 October 2019 two new mentions will have to appear on the invoice: • the billing address if it is different from the delivery address • the purchase order number if it has been previously issued by the buyer. The sanctions for breach of the invoicing rules are reinforced by the introduction of a fine henceforth of an administrative nature. These new provisions result from the order of 24 April 2019 recasting Title IV of Book IV of the Code of Commerce relating to transparency, restrictive practices of competition and other prohibited practices. Invoice: the mandatory information in France reminder of the mandatory information existing before 01st October 2019. The date of the invoice Date on which the invoice is issued. The invoice number Unique number for each invoice and based on a chronological and continuous sequence, without “hole”, an invoice that can not be deleted. The numbering can possibly be done in separate series (for example with a prefix per year), if the conditions of exercise justify it. Date of sale or service Date on which the delivery of goods or service is made (or completed). The identity of the seller or service provider Legal name (or name and surname for an individual entrepreneur), address of the registered office, billing address (if different), Siren number or Siret, NAF code, legal form and registered capital (for companies), RCS number and city the registration registry (for traders), number in the trade register and registration department (for craftsmen). The identity of the buyer or customer Legal name (or name for an individual), address of the customer (except opposition for an individual), billing address if different, delivery address. Purchase order number When previously established by the buyer. VAT identification number VAT identification number of the seller and the business customer (only the latter is liable for VAT). These mentions are not mandatory for invoices whose amount excluding taxes is less than or equal to 150 €. The designation and counting of products and services rendered • Nature, brand, product reference. Materials provided and labor for the services. • Specific name, quantity, unit price excluding taxes and VAT rate, discounts and other possible rebates. The catalog price Unit price excluding VAT of goods sold or hourly rate excluding VAT of the services provided. The legally applicable VAT rate Especially if different VAT rates apply, they must appear clearly by lines. Discount Rebate, rebate, discount on the date of sale or service, excluding discount transactions not included on the invoice. Total amount to be paid excluding tax (HT) and all taxes included (TTC) About the payment The date or deadline for payment, the invoice, the penalty rates in the event of non-payment on the payment date entered on the invoice and the amount of the lump sum indemnity for recovery costs in case of late payment (40 €) . Invoice: the particulars Other details must be entered on the invoice in the following special cases: • The seller or service provider is a member of a management center or an approved association Add the mention: “Member of an approved association, payment by check and credit card is accepted”. • The seller has a VAT exemption scheme Add the mention “VAT not applicable, art. 293 B of the General Tax Code “. • The subcontractor no longer declares VAT is the main company that declares it (reverse charge VAT) Mention “self-liquidation of VAT”. Indicate that this is a “tax-free amount”. • Craftsmen or micro-entrepreneurs engaged in a craft activity for which professional insurance is compulsory Mention of the insurance taken out under the activity